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Prediction for CME (2016-07-17T12:48:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2016-07-17T12:48Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/10999/-1
CME Note: Slow dimming and field line evolution visible in AIA images from 06:30-08:30. Note: the arrival listed here may not be due to this CME, but no other ICME could be found.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2016-07-19T23:05Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2016-07-21T06:42Z
Prediction Method: SPM
Prediction Method Note:

SPM Model Input Parameters:
Date-time:   2016-07-17 12:48:00
Initial Shock Speed:  497 km/s
Background Solar Wind Speed: 400 km/s
Duration Time: 0.2 hour

Output Results:The shock will arrive at the Earth at 2016-07-21 06:42:43

Lead Time: 16.27 hour(s)
Difference: -31.62 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) on 2016-07-19T06:49Z

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